HO+Neg+arguments+2010

New Third Wave Arguments
-Threaten Russia CP--Human Rights -Soft Power DA--heg bad and demo promo bad (only with K impacts for demo promo bad) -For Japan Futenma Aff--Shimoji Disad (quid pro quo for leaving Futenma) and Shimoji Condition CP (Shimoji basing good) -Updating previous neg files -Russia fill-in DA against Afghanistan COIN affs - impact is likely to be that it provokes conflict with the US and upsets US/India relations -Nietzsche K - will actually be done for this wave. It's mostly just a more out-there version of Security but has the Nietzsche component.

South Korea Cites
= = =HO Neg arguments=

New off-case positions
Nietzsche K - much more likely to be just some new Nietzsche cards that will be added to the security K Obama: SK FTA (potentially both directions)

potentially generally applicable CPs: Threaten Russia (not sure what we'll threaten them over yet) condition CP for China - potentially condition on them reducing missile sales

Arguments in case negatives
__Coercion__ withdrawal costs more money

__Turkey TNWs__ - Consult NATO - T - weapons do not military presence - More work on allied prolif - Water war security links - Politics links- unpopular/popular

__Afghanistan nation-building bad__ - Jirga CP (support a jirga to re-direct US nation-building) - Taliban Negotiations DA - Russia Relations DA - Security Links/blocks - updating the afghanistan ptx da - threaten Russia CP (maybe. What we would threaten them about is undecided)

__Japan policy__ China Advantage CP (something along the lines of engaging in a " North Pacific Regional Energy Consortium" with Japan & China) US-Japan Alliance CP (still unsure what this will be) T - Substantially = more than 50% T - In = throughout Compensation DA - more link and IL work, and looking for another impact scenario other than the F-22

__PMCs__ T - PMC not military presence CP to regulate PMCs, not eliminate them.

__Afghanistan drones__ T - Reduce not Eliminate T - weapons aren't presence T - covert operations aren't presence (maybe) T-drones aren't military presence (part of CIA) Drones good - terrorism Court Stripping Cite but dont rule on ILAW CP (court stripping net benefit) Pakistan relations CP (disclose drones exist) Limit but don't remove drones CP - force multiplier/ban attacks Congress CP (NB: reverse politics?)

__South Korea policy__ CP to remove nearly all troops - solves NK advantage better Pan K (China threat)

__Offshore balancing__ CP's- economic engagement w/ NK - solves NK nukes Case offense (heg good, basically): NK war turns Asia war turns Taiwan war turns China war turns heg turns

__South Korea prostitution__ CP to regulate prostitution but not remove troops

__Japan critique aff__ CP:Accept terms of renegotiation of SOFA giving japan jurisdiction over bases while decentralizing futenma base to smaller islands NB- U.S. Japan Alliance East Asia stability Gender K links/case turns Essentialism turns Marginalization turns

__Kuwait__ C.P. saying the U.S. should coop. with Kuwait instead of withdrawal Withdrawal detrimental to Kuwait security links for Israel DA

__Iraq critique aff__ Re-deployment Afghanistan/Pakistan/Iran Counter plan: The U.S.F.G. should remove all troops accept those that promote development for Iraq as an independent nation Topicality: T. Combat Troops

__Afghanistan counter-narcotics__ CP of stop doing counternarcotiic but not withdraw the troops Nation building key to rural devlopment, and rural devlopment is their solvency Politics links T - not substantial

__Iraq policy__ Kurds DA Israel DA CP - Diplomatic talks with Iran CP - Invest in Iraq infrastructure CP - to leave 30,00 troops to Iraq (Net Benefit- Israel Stability DA) T SOFA - must be substantial decrease against current planned presence